Battery prices have fallen over 90% in the past 15 years and will continue to fall as production costs decline and emerging battery technologies mature.
Goldman Sachs updated its battery price forecast and noted that prices are starting to come down again: Goldman Sachs Research now expects battery prices to fall to $99 per kilowatt hour (kWh) of storage capacity by 2025 — a 40% decrease from 2022 (the previous forecast was for a 33% decline).
While several studies have previously forecast battery prices to plummet over time, a new report from research firm BloombergNEF states that prices might be falling faster than expected, accelerating the industry's quest for EVs to cost as much as gas cars on average by 2026.
Goldman Sachs Research now expects battery prices to fall to $99 per kilowatt hour (kWh) of storage capacity by 2025 — a 40% decrease from 2022 (the previous forecast was for a 33% decline). Our analysts estimate that almost half of the decline will come from declining prices of EV raw materials such as lithium, nickel, and cobalt.
Bloomberg is not the only one predicting that EV battery prices will continue plummeting. Goldman Sachs Research predicts prices will fall 50% by 2026 compared to 2023. At that, prices would slip below $80 per kWh, down from $149 per kWh in 2023. Add Electrek to your Google News feed.
According to the survey, average battery prices are expected to slip below $100 per kWh as soon as 2026. This is widely considered the “price parity” threshold with ICE vehicles. By 2030, prices could fall as low as $69 per kWh. The study also points out that geopolitical uncertainties and slower demand could impact pricing.
That's subsiding as prices cool for battery metals, which could help make EVs more competitive with traditional cars more quickly. Goldman Sachs Research now expects battery prices to fall to $99 per kilowatt hour (kWh) of storage capacity by 2025 — a 40% decrease from 2022 (the previous forecast was for a 33% decline).
Contact us for competitive quotes on any of our EMS platforms, inverters, PCS systems, and energy storage solutions
Get a Quote